Threading the Needle

Threading the Needle

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Geopolitics & Middle Powers

Import Imperatives
How and why middle powers should import frontier AI systems
 • Anton Leicht
How AI Safety Is Getting Middle Powers Wrong
The case for pivoting from global governance to national interests
 • Anton Leicht
Forging a Pax Silica
Can the Western alliance be rebuilt on techno-strategical leverage?
 • Anton Leicht
When Should Nations Sell Their Data?
Service economies might have to treat data as a strategic asset beyond privacy politics
 • Anton Leicht
The Future of AI Export Deals
AI developers can build moats by making country-level exports work for everyone
Making American AI Export Promotion Work
How to sell the American stack to an uninformed world
 • Anton Leicht
A Strategic Case for H20 Chip Exports
Retracing the argument for exporting inference capacity
 • Anton Leicht
AI, Jobs, and the Rest of the World
No one but America has the leverage to get AI labor policy right
 • Anton Leicht
Mercantilist AI Policy
Reconstructing the doctrine behind US AI foreign policy
 • Anton Leicht
AI Grand Strategy & The Rest of the World
US and Chinese grand strategies are shaping their stances on AI diffusion and exports. The world is failing to pay attention.
 • Anton Leicht
Datacenter Delusions
Simply building compute capacity does not make for a convincing national AI strategy.
 • Anton Leicht
The Awareness Gap
AI middle powers underestimate the pace of progress. Global volatility could follow.
 • Anton Leicht
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