AI & Geopolitics

The Awareness Gap

AI middle powers underestimate the pace of progress. Global volatility could follow.

Jun 17 •

The Early Death of International AI Governance

Why the stars might never align on preventative international governance of AI, and what to do instead.

Mar 31 •

The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of AI Securitisation

The rapid shift of AI into the domain of national security is frequently portrayed as a foregone conclusion. It’s not, and we shouldn’t treat it like…

Mar 12 •

The Most Dangerous Time in AI Policy

If the deployment of human-level AI systems disrupts our political institutions, we won't be prepared for further progress.

Mar 5 •

The AI Takeoff Political Economy

If AI policy does not get ahead of its treacherous politics, this revolution will eat its children.

Jan 30 •

A Roadmap For AI Middle Powers

First thoughts on leveraging bottlenecks for abundant intelligence

Jan 23 •

The Politics of Inference Scaling

This is an archived post. It's not optimised for Substack.

Jan 9 •

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