Threading the Needle

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Geopolitics & Middle Powers

Alliance Engine
How I learned to love industrial AI
18 hrs ago • Anton Leicht
Escape Velocity
The political economy of space compute
Aug 25 • Anton Leicht
The Moonshot
Real sovereign AI has never been tried
Jun 17 • Anton Leicht
Cut Off
Soon, access to frontier AI will be scarce and selective
May 13 • Anton Leicht
Can You Poach A Frontier Lab?
A stepwise roadmap for U.S. allies after the Anthropic crisis
Mar 3 • Anton Leicht
The Delhi Gap
Billions of people or trillions of dollars are catastrophically wrong
Feb 25 • Anton Leicht
What AI Summits Are For
The best international AI policy is to fix national strategies
Feb 16 • Anton Leicht
Compute for Access
How and why middle powers should import frontier AI systems
Feb 6 • Anton Leicht
How AI Safety Is Getting Middle Powers Wrong
The case for pivoting from global governance to national interests
Jan 22 • Anton Leicht
Forging a Pax Silica
Can the Western alliance be rebuilt on techno-strategical leverage?
Dec 17, 2025 • Anton Leicht
When Should Nations Sell Their Data?
Service economies might have to treat data as a strategic asset beyond privacy politics
Oct 29, 2025 • Anton Leicht
The Future of AI Export Deals
AI developers can build moats by making country-level exports work for everyone
Oct 23, 2025
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