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Powerless Predictions
Sophisticated AI predictions fail to affect policy strategy. Changing that requires taking risks.
Apr 24
•
Anton Leicht
10
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Powerless Predictions
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Homeostatic AI Progress
Very fast AI progress faces a self-regulating dynamic: Greater speed leads to more organizational strains, compute trade-offs and societal backlash.
Apr 7
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Anton Leicht
12
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Homeostatic AI Progress
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March 2025
The Early Death of International AI Governance
Why the stars might never align on preventative international governance of AI, and what to do instead.
Mar 31
•
Anton Leicht
24
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The Early Death of International AI Governance
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Three Notes on Dean Ball's 'Private AI Governance'
In this shorter piece, I discuss a recent proposal's limitations regarding transformative AI systems, securitised environments, and the role of…
Mar 21
•
Anton Leicht
5
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Three Notes on Dean Ball's 'Private AI Governance'
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Do You Need A Wake-Up Call?
Big-ticket AI impacts might soon reshape AI policy. No one is prepared for that, but some people think they are.
Mar 18
•
Anton Leicht
9
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Do You Need A Wake-Up Call?
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The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of AI Securitisation
The rapid shift of AI into the domain of national security is frequently portrayed as a foregone conclusion. It’s not, and we shouldn’t treat it like…
Mar 12
•
Anton Leicht
10
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The Self-Fulfilling Prophecy of AI Securitisation
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The Most Dangerous Time in AI Policy
If the deployment of human-level AI systems disrupts our political institutions, we won't be prepared for further progress.
Mar 5
•
Anton Leicht
16
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The Most Dangerous Time in AI Policy
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Peak Brussels
“Who do I call if I want to speak to Europe?” — Kissinger
Published on Inference
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Mar 3
February 2025
Unbundling the AI Safety Pitch
A more institutionally and intellectually heterogeneous AI safety policy environment could take more chances and be less strategically vulnerable.
Feb 24
•
Anton Leicht
18
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Unbundling the AI Safety Pitch
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AI Safety Policy Can’t Go On Like This
A changed political gameboard means the 2023 playbook for safety policy is obsolete. Here’s what not to do next.
Feb 17
•
Anton Leicht
22
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AI Safety Policy Can’t Go On Like This
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AI Policy & Labor Politics
AI agents are coming to the labor market. That fact could reshape AI politics, raises a dilemma for AI safety advocates and threatens the tech right…
Feb 10
•
Anton Leicht
18
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AI Policy & Labor Politics
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January 2025
The AI Takeoff Political Economy
If AI policy does not get ahead of its treacherous politics, this revolution will eat its children.
Jan 30
•
Anton Leicht
15
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The AI Takeoff Political Economy
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