Threading the Needle

Threading the Needle

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The Night Before Preemption
Three dynamics to watch as the fighting begins
Nov 26 • 
Anton Leicht
How To Grow Too Big To Fail
When AI developers overplay their strategic indispensability, they risk undermining pro-AI policy writ large
Nov 19 • 
Anton Leicht
AI & Jobs: Leverage without Labor
Would humans flourish under full automation?
Nov 5 • 
Anton Leicht

October 2025

When Should Nations Sell Their Data?
Service economies might have to treat data as a strategic asset beyond privacy politics
Oct 29 • 
Anton Leicht
The Future of AI Export Deals
AI developers can build moats by making country-level exports work for everyone
Oct 23
The Devil You Know
A second look at the tech right
Oct 16 • 
Anton Leicht
A Preemption Deal Worth Making
Making the best of borrowed time
Oct 8 • 
Anton Leicht
AI & Child Safety: Against Narrow Solutions
How to navigate a political forcing function
Oct 1 • 
Anton Leicht

September 2025

Making American AI Export Promotion Work
How to sell the American stack to an uninformed world
Sep 24 • 
Anton Leicht
A Strategic Case for H20 Chip Exports
Retracing the argument for exporting inference capacity
Sep 17 • 
Anton Leicht
AI, Jobs, and the Rest of the World
No one but America has the leverage to get AI labor policy right
Sep 9 • 
Anton Leicht
Don’t Build An AI Safety Movement
Once again, the field is summoning spirits it cannot control
Sep 3 • 
Anton Leicht
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